NYSE · Ship & Boat Building & Repairing
Quote as of Oct 9, 2:30 PM ET · delayed
Fairly Valued. Our fair value estimate is USD 268.48 against a price of USD 264.55, +1% implied upside. Reasoning and scenarios are in Huntington Ingalls Industries stock: better ship guidance, weaker cash.
Huntington Ingalls Industries declared USD 5.43 per share in dividends in FY2025, up 3.4% from USD 5.25 in FY2024. At USD 264.55 that is a 2.05% trailing yield. The dividend took 35% of FY2025 diluted EPS of USD 15.39.
Huntington Ingalls Industries stock is drawing attention, but the cause of today’s move is not established by the available documents. The latest verified business change is higher shipbuilding guidance, set against sharply negative first-half free cash flow.
StockLarge CapIndustrialsNo earnings notes for this company yet.
Revenue (USD, billions)
Margins (%)
Free cash flow (USD, billions)
Estimated ROIC (%)
Net debt (USD, billions)
Monetary values are in USD; revenue, FCF and net debt are in billions; EPS is per share. Missing values appear as gaps and “Not available.” Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings, latest restated values; quarterly cash flow derived from year-to-date figures; Q4 = fiscal year minus nine months. ROIC is NOPAT (21% tax) over debt plus equity.
| Period | Revenue | Gross % | Op % | FCF | EPS | ROIC % | Net debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2016 | 7.07 | Not available | 12.4 | 0.54 | 12.1 | 23.6 | 0.56 |
| FY2017 | 7.44 | Not available | 11.8 | 0.43 | 10.5 | 22.9 | 0.58 |
| FY2018 | 8.18 | Not available | 11.6 | 0.45 | 19.1 | 26.8 | 1.04 |
| FY2019 | 8.90 | Not available | 8.27 | 0.37 | 13.3 | 20.2 | 1.21 |
| FY2020 | 9.36 | Not available | 8.54 | 0.74 | 17.1 | 17.6 | 1.17 |
| FY2021 | 9.52 | Not available | 5.39 | 0.43 | 13.5 | 6.64 | 2.67 |
| FY2022 | 10.7 | Not available | 5.29 | 0.48 | 14.4 | 6.98 | 2.44 |
| FY2023 | 11.4 | Not available | 6.82 | 0.68 | 17.1 | 9.78 | 1.78 |
| FY2024 | 11.5 | Not available | 4.64 | 0.03 | 14.0 | 5.74 | 1.87 |
| FY2025 | 12.5 | Not available | 5.26 | 0.79 | 15.4 | 6.68 | 1.93 |
Current price
USD 264.55
Fair value estimate
USD 268.48
Implied upside
+1.5%
Bear
25%USD 201
Illustrative P/E on supplied TTM EPS; direct equity valuation.
A lower multiple reflects continued poor cash conversion or weaker shipyard execution. The arithmetic does not assume a specific cause for the current share-price move.
Base
50%USD 268
Illustrative P/E on supplied TTM EPS; direct equity valuation.
The base case assumes earnings hold and HII earns a 16x multiple, with the recently raised shipbuilding outlook yet to be proven in reported results.
Bull
25%USD 336
Illustrative P/E on supplied TTM EPS; direct equity valuation.
The bull case assumes sustained shipyard execution and a higher multiple for reliable earnings and cash conversion. The scenario is conditional, not a forecast.
No news items logged for this company yet.