NYSE · Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics
Quote as of Oct 9, 2:31 PM ET · delayed
Fairly Valued. Our fair value estimate is USD 244.50 against a price of USD 281.81, -13% implied downside. Reasoning and scenarios are in Ecolab stock: higher guidance still leaves little room at 38 times earnings.
Ecolab declared USD 2.68 per share in dividends in FY2025, up 13.6% from USD 2.36 in FY2024. At USD 281.81 that is a 0.95% trailing yield. The dividend took 37% of FY2025 diluted EPS of USD 7.28.
Ecolab stock has a fresh earnings catalyst: management raised its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook after organic growth accelerated. Stronger execution helps, yet the current valuation already prices in much of the improvement.
StockLarge CapIndustrialsNo earnings notes for this company yet.
Revenue (USD, billions)
Margins (%)
Free cash flow (USD, billions)
Estimated ROIC (%)
Net debt (USD, billions)
Monetary values are in USD; revenue, FCF and net debt are in billions; EPS is per share. Missing values appear as gaps and “Not available.” Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings, latest restated values; quarterly cash flow derived from year-to-date figures; Q4 = fiscal year minus nine months. ROIC is NOPAT (21% tax) over debt plus equity.
| Period | Revenue | Gross % | Op % | FCF | EPS | ROIC % | Net debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2016 | 13.2 | Not available | 14.2 | 1.18 | 4.14 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2017 | 11.5 | Not available | 15.2 | 1.30 | 5.12 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2018 | 12.2 | Not available | 14.1 | 1.50 | 4.88 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2019 | 12.6 | Not available | 14.7 | 1.69 | 5.33 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2020 | 11.8 | Not available | 11.8 | 1.37 | -4.15 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2021 | 12.7 | Not available | 12.6 | 1.42 | 3.91 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2022 | 14.2 | Not available | 11.0 | 1.08 | 3.81 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2023 | 15.3 | Not available | 13.0 | 1.64 | 4.79 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2024 | 15.7 | Not available | 17.8 | 1.82 | 7.37 | Not available | Not available |
| FY2025 | 16.1 | Not available | 17.0 | 1.90 | 7.28 | Not available | Not available |
Current price
USD 281.81
Fair value estimate
USD 244.50
Implied upside
-13.2%
Bear
25%USD 190
Direct equity valuation: assumed adjusted EPS multiplied by assumed P/E multiple.
Growth and pricing underdeliver while acquisition and financing costs persist; the market assigns a lower multiple.
Base
50%USD 245
Direct equity valuation: assumed adjusted EPS multiplied by assumed P/E multiple.
The company delivers around the midpoint of its adjusted EPS guidance, with growth continuing but the premium multiple moderating.
Bull
25%USD 298
Direct equity valuation: assumed adjusted EPS multiplied by assumed P/E multiple.
Pricing holds, growth engines scale quickly and investors continue to award a premium multiple.
No news items logged for this company yet.