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TMUS · Q2 FY2026

T-Mobile US, Inc. Q2 FY2026 earnings analysis

By SageNoodle ResearchBullish
Reported results versus estimates
MetricActualEstimateResult
Revenue$22.79B$21.13B (yr ago)Beat
EPS$2.99$2.84 (yr ago)Beat
Free Cash Flow$4.80B adjusted$4.60B adjusted (yr ago)Beat
Gross MarginNot meaningfulNot meaningfulMiss
Operating Margin24.1% (supplied pre-tax proxy)24.7% (yr ago)Miss

What changed

Revenue rose 7.9% year over year to $22.79 billion, EPS increased 5.3% to $2.99 and adjusted free cash flow advanced 4.4% to $4.80 billion. Service revenue growth accelerated to 8.9%, but postpaid net account additions fell 13.0% and the supplied pre-tax-margin proxy declined to 24.1% from 24.7%. Management raised the midpoints of operating cash flow and adjusted free-cash-flow guidance by $200 million.

Impact on the investment thesis

There is no prior SageNoodle fair value to revise. We initiate fair value at $182 per share: the cash-flow guidance increase supports a modest premium to the supplied 18.5x TTM P/E, while slower account growth, weaker churn and substantial debt limit the multiple.

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