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MA · Q2 FY2026

Mastercard Inc Q2 FY2026 earnings analysis

By SageNoodle ResearchBullish
Reported results versus estimates
MetricActualEstimateResult
Revenue$9.28B$8.13B (yr ago)Beat
EPS$4.97$4.07 (yr ago)Beat
Free Cash Flow$3.48B (N/M for a financial company)$4.56B (yr ago; N/M)Miss
Gross MarginN/M for a financial companyN/M (yr ago)Miss
Operating Margin60.2% pre-tax margin58.7% pre-tax margin (yr ago)Beat

What changed

Revenue increased 14.1% year over year to $9.28 billion, while EPS rose 22.1% to $4.97. Pre-tax margin expanded 150 basis points to 60.2%, indicating that earnings grew faster than revenue. The reported free-cash-flow figure declined, but that measure is not analytically meaningful for this financial company.

Impact on the investment thesis

There was no prior SageNoodle fair value to revise; we initiate fair value at $564 per share. The quarter supports the operating thesis, but Mastercard’s 31.1x trailing earnings multiple already reflects much of that strength.

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