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CAT · Q2 FY2026

CATERPILLAR INC Q2 FY2026 earnings analysis

By SageNoodle ResearchNeutral
Reported results versus estimates
MetricActualEstimateResult
Revenue$20.54B$16.57B (yr ago)Beat
EPS$7.77$4.62 (yr ago)Beat
Free Cash Flow$3.78B$2.57B (yr ago)Beat
Gross MarginNot disclosedNot disclosed (yr ago)Miss
Operating Margin20.9%17.3% (yr ago)Beat

What changed

Caterpillar produced its first quarter above $20 billion of sales, with revenue rising 24.0% year over year as volume increased across all three primary segments. Operating margin expanded 3.6 percentage points to 20.9%, EPS rose 68.2% to $7.77 and quarterly free cash flow increased to $3.78 billion.

Impact on the investment thesis

With no prior SageNoodle valuation, we establish post-earnings base fair value at $600 per share. The quarter raises the earnings baseline, but the $805 market price already discounts substantial durability at 34.6x trailing earnings.

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